Assessment 2 Draft - Steps 1-6
Step 1
Link
to my blog: https://coleargus.blogspot.com/
Link
to Bega’s Annual Report’s: https://begagroup.com.au/investors/reports/
KCQ 1: “The value to
customers of the products or services is much less precise and depends on a
customer’s subjective assessments. Brands, fashion, and emotional reactions can
all play a part in customers’ perceptions of value.”
Upon deeper thought, this statement
resonated with me. Thinking about my friends, family, or even social media
allows me to see clear truth in this statement and this type of consumer
behavior seems to be everywhere today. Thinking about my own purchasing
decisions, I realised that I don't always buy products based solely on their
functional utility or objective price. For example, when I buy a new shirt, I
often find myself drawn to a specific brand not necessarily because it's
objectively higher in quality, but because of the graphics, design or fit. The
brand's marketing, its association with certain lifestyles, and the way it fits,
all play a role in my perceived value for the shirt.
This made me consider the power of
branding and marketing in creating value. Companies tend to invest heavily in
building brand identities and crafting narratives that resonate with consumers
on an emotional level. I've seen how a well-placed advertisement or a celebrity
endorsement can drastically alter a product's perceived value, even if its actual
features remain unchanged. Similarly, fashion trends can create a sense of
urgency and exclusivity, driving up demand and perceived value for items that
might otherwise be considered ordinary.
This concept also made me reflect
on the subjective nature of "value" itself. What I might consider
“valuable”, another person might think is trash. An expensive handbag, for
instance, might be seen as an essential status symbol to certain women, however,
to the women in my family, this is just a superficial thought process. This
variation in perception shows the importance of understanding target audiences
and tailoring marketing strategies to appeal to their specific values.
Something I would like to know is, how do businesses measure these subjective factors, like brand perception, and emotional response, to provide accurate pricing for their products or services?
KCQ 2: “You tend to want to
know where you are now so you can plan where you want to be in the future. This
is because to get where you want to go in the future you must get there by
going from where you are at present.”
I found this statement to be
interesting and wanted to explore it a little further. The concept seemed simple
yet powerful, and I can see how this not only applies to business strategies,
but also to your own personal goals. Recently, I've been planning to save for a
down payment on a house. Considering I’m juggling work and full-time study; I
had to take a hard look at my current financial situation. Much like this
chapter tells me how a business analyses its cost objects, I started by
tracking my income and expenses. I had to understand where my money was
currently going, before I could create a realistic budget and savings plan.
Just like managers need to
understand the "where" and "why" of business costs, I
needed to understand the "where" and "why" of my personal
spending. This involved categorising expenses, identifying areas where I could
cut back, and understanding the factors that were impacting my spending habits.
After analysing my expenses, I realised I was spending too much on convenience
such as dining out with friends and stopping at petrol stations on the way home
from work to pick up essentials. I’ve had to cut back on having dinner with
friends once every few weeks to save time and money, as well as being more
organised about what food I currently have on hand, so I can purchase
everything needed in my weekly shop at a lower price.
This experience showed that understanding prior spending patterns is helping to forecast my future expenses and by changing a few of my prior habits, I can save a substantial amount more towards my house deposit each month.
KCQ 3: “The final step is for these costs attached to
the operating departments to be absorbed into the products as they pass through
each stage of the production process. The products are much like a sponge
wiping over a kitchen bench and absorbing water lying on the bench. This water
on the kitchen bench is the costs we have attached to operating departments.”
I found the entire factory process
of the Cadbury factory in Claremont interesting, however the analogy of a
sponge absorbing water to describe cost absorption particularly stood out. This
metaphor helped me visualise the entire process of how the costs of mixing,
refining, and other operating departments are transferred onto the chocolate
products in each stage of production.
To me this process allows you to
accurately price your products at the final stage. If you don’t know exactly where
your costs will be absorbed and where all your direct and indirect costs are,
how can you predict if you are running at a profit or loss until it’s too late?
Common sense tells me that this is fundamental to running any business,
especially those with many departments that all have their own costs attached
to them.
At first, the process of different stages of production absorbing costs was a little confusing based on what I was reading in the chapter. However, breaking it down and thinking about it logically in a real-life scenario like the Cadbury chocolate factory allowed me to make sense of this concept.
KCQ 4: “A firm with genuine prospects to grow sales
strongly will have greater potential for growth in profits if it has a high
contribution margin ratio than if it has a low contribution margin ratio.
However, if the firm’s fixed costs were also high, then this greater potential
for growth in profits would also come with significant downside risk.”
This statement stood out to me
because I could relate this to many different things in life. There are endless
situations where the concept of risk versus reward can be seen in day-to-day
life and there’s a reason why so many people enjoy a trip to the casino from
time to time. This to me just seems like a more complex version of risk versus
reward. The idea that a high contribution margin can supercharge profit growth
is intriguing. Does this mean that additional sales contribute a larger
percentage to profit because the variable costs are relatively low?
Alternatively, I guess the opposite
effect can occur too if the firm has high fixed costs whereas if sales are slow,
those same fixed costs could become a huge burden and lead to losses. Further
thought into this concept made me reflect on the importance of risk assessment
and planning. It’s not just about maximising profits in the best-case scenario;
it’s also about considering the worst-case scenario and how you will handle
losses. Throughout my life I’ve heard the sayings, “don’t think about the
worst-case scenario” or “be positive about everything”, and when tying those
sayings into this concept it really has a negative effect overall.
At the end of the day, I believe
it’s important to see the big picture and to explore every avenue before coming
to a final decision, be that positive or negative.
Step 2
Issues/Concerns in classifying Bega’s Financial
Statements
The
Balance Sheet
Current Assets:
The first issue I came across was
figuring out what “cash and cash equivalents” classify as. In my head I feel
like this would either be just operating or classify as both because it is used
in both operational and financial activities. I’m going to classify this as “OF”
for both right now as I’m confused on this and I will ask for help in the
weekly tutorial. After discussion in class and further analysis of my company’s
annual report, I found that that this would be classified as both in my case
(OF).
“Derivative financial instruments”
under current assets was another confusing category to me. It has financial in its
name but when I looked at the annual reports it had no extra notes to break
down exactly what this included. I decided to google exactly what this term
means on the balance sheet, and it told me that because this is a current asset
this could be a payment that’s expected to be received from another company
within the next 12 months. Hence, why the category is showing a positive number.
As my company doesn’t define the details of the derivative in its notes I can’t
100 percent classify this as financial or operational, so I’ve put a “OF” for
both on the spreadsheet.
For “other current assets” I
decided to check the notes in the annual report in case it included anything
that would classify as financial. Upon further research these assets included
prepayments, trade receivables and another small portion further classified as
other assets again. I believe that this is classified as operational so that’s
what I’ve put in the spreadsheet.
Non-current Assets:
I had no idea what “right-of-use”
assets were, so I delved deeper into the financial statement notes and found
out that for my company this was just properties, equipment and motor vehicles.
After seeing this, I knew these were classified as operational activities.
“Deferred tax assets” was also quite a foreign term to me.
My company’s financial statement notes showed that this figure was mostly made
up of items such as employee provisions, leased assets and other provisions. Further
research concluded that deferred tax assets don’t really come under financial
or operational activities. I’ve classified this category as N/A for now and
I’ll have to ask about this in our weekly workshop. Update: I asked
about this in the workshop and Maria Tyler clarified that these are classified
as operational, so I’ve adjusted the spreadsheet.
Current Liabilities:
For other liabilities, I checked
the notes in the annual report and found that deferred income and trade
receivables made up the bulk of the total. However, a small amount of “other
financial liabilities” attributed to the total but didn’t specify exactly what
they were. Financial liabilities as far as I’m aware are classified as
financial, however the large portion that came from trade receivables and
deferred income is classified as operational, so I decided to classify this
category as “O”.
Again, I couldn’t find any
information in the notes of the financial statements specifying what
“derivative financial instruments” the company had, so I’ve put this as “OF”
for both.
I wasn’t sure what “current tax
liabilities” would classify as so I did further research. It turns out that
these liabilities arise from the company’s taxable income, which is generated
from its operational activities. Therefore, this category classifies as
operational.
Non-current Liabilities:
For other liabilities, the financial
statement notes show that this is made up of financial liabilities, therefore
this is classified as financial.
Again, just like deferred tax assets, “deferred tax
liabilities” had sub-categories such as inventories, employee provisions, tax
losses and leased assets. I’m having trouble with this category because from
what I’m reading this doesn’t classify as either financial or operational. Update:
I have clarified with Maria Tyler in our weekly workshop, and she said that
these are classified as operational.
The Income Statement
I wasn’t 100 percent sure on the
classification of “other revenue” in my company. After looking through the
notes, I saw that this comprises of royalties, which are payments received directly
from the results of company research, development or production activities.
Therefore, this is an operational activity.
I decided to look further into
“acquisition related expenses” and found that Bega had acquired Lion Dairy and
Drinks in FY2021, and the expenses were based on transition service
arrangements. I believe this would classify as operational.
Comments and Responses to Classifying my Firm’s Financial
Statements
Link to my blog post: https://coleargus.blogspot.com/2025/04/assessment-2-step-2.html
I found that classifying my firm’s financial
statements in step two of the assessment to be slightly challenging, yet
interesting at the same time. Exploring further into my company’s financial
statements and notes to each section allowed me to form a broader knowledge
base on what each category of financials meant. I did come across a few
challenges throughout classifying the categories of my firm which held both
financial, and operating items (these were classified as “OF” on the
spreadsheet). Most of the items in my company’s spreadsheet required further
analysis of the notes to financial statements in order to determine what
classification they had. This was both time consuming and confusing at times,
but I feel like I’ve classified each term correctly based on my company’s
specific operations. The only activities I truly got stuck on were deferred tax
assets and deferred tax liabilities as I couldn’t define them as a singular
activity. To address this, I asked Maria Tyler in our weekly workshop, and she
clarified that these were both classified as operating activities. This was
very helpful, thank you!
Overall, completing this task felt very
hands-on, which is how I personally learn most effectively. Putting the extra
time into researching each specific item on the financial statements and
classifying which activity heading they resided under has helped me better
understand how they all combine and work together within my firm.
Step 3
Identifying 3 Products or Services of Bega
Cheese:
Bega manufactures many different milk-based
products; however, for calculation simplicity, these are the three fresh white
milk products I’ve chosen.
1. Dairy
Farmers Full Cream Milk (1L)
2. Pura
Original Full Cream Milk (1L)
3. Masters
Full Cream Milk (1L)
Firstly, Bega Group’s milk supply
agreement from 2022-2023 shows that they pay roughly 69 cents per litre of milk
from dairy farmers. Bega then transports the milk to their processing plant
where the milk undergoes pasteurisation, homogenisation, and other quality
checks. It is then bottled and packaged and sent to retailers. I will be using
Woolworths and Coles as my example retailers in this situation as they buy and
sell the products from Bega that I’ve listed. Woolworths’ profit margin on food
products is roughly 5-6%, so let’s assume a 5.5% average.
Retailer’s full-cream milk sales
prices:
Dairy Farmers (1L) – $2.80
Pura Original (1L) – $2.80
Masters (1L) - $3.15
Calculating the selling price of
Bega to retailers:
Dairy Farmers:
0.055 * 2.8 = 0.154
2.8 – 0.154 = 2.646
Price Sold = $2.65
Pura Original:
0.055 * 2.8 = 0.154
2.8 – 0.154 = 2.646
Price Sold = $2.65
Masters:
0.055 * 3.15 = 0.17325
3.15 – 0.17325 = 2.97675
Price Sold = $2.98
Bega’s Milk Products Selling Price | ||
Dairy Farmers Full Cream Milk (1L) | Pura Original Full Cream Milk (1L) | Masters Full Cream Milk (1L) |
$2.65 | $2.65 | $2.98 |
Variable costs related to the milk
processing industry include things like raw milk prices, labour, electricity,
fuel, and packaging supplies. Bega doesn’t release information on most of this,
and the products are all very similar. In Maria Tyler’s video she explains that
high volume items generally have very small margins, therefore, I will estimate
the variable costs of these milk products at 90%. The variable cost and
contribution margin for the three products outlined above are calculated below.
Variable Cost Prices
Dairy Farmers Full Cream Milk (1L): $2.65 * 0.90 = $2.39
(rounded)
Pura Original Full Cream Milk (1L): $2.65 * 0.90 = $2.39
(rounded)
Masters Full Cream Milk (1L): $2.98 * 0.90 = $2.68
(rounded)
Contribution Margin = Selling Price – Variable Cost
Contribution Margins
Dairy Farmers Full Cream Milk (1L): $2.65 – $2.39 = $0.26
Pura Original Full Cream Milk (1L): $2.65 – $2.39 = $0.26
Masters Full Cream Milk (1L): $2.98 – $2.68 = $0.30
These contribution margins are
contributing to the fixed costs of Bega such as rent/lease payments, insurance,
staff salaries and depreciation on machinery to help generate profit.
Contribution Margin Similarities &
Differences
The variable cost margin is the same for
all three products, however the Masters full cream milk variable cost price is
slightly higher due to the product being sold at a higher price. Additionally,
varying fixed costs would be a characteristic of each product, and factors such
as market competition and demand would further contribute to those costs.
The reason all three of these products
have similar contribution margins is that they are all extremely similar
products, just branded and packaged differently. However, if I had chosen a
different product from Bega such as Vegemite, the contribution margin would be
much different to standard full-cream milk. More variables within production, and
the fact that Vegemite isn’t classified as an essential item would clearly show
differences to that of the three milk products chosen.
Why might a firm produce a range of
products or services with varying contribution margins?
Bega Cheese is a company with a diverse
product range which mostly consists of milk-based products. In addition to
this, in recent years Bega has also acquired products such as Vegemite and
Zooper Doopers, as it looks to expand further beyond its origins. With this in
mind, I believe that Bega’s management team has realised the importance of providing
a range of different products with differing contribution margins to suit the
needs of a wide range of customers. Relying solely on a small group of products
with higher contribution margins can be seen as risky for a firm. Using the
recent Ex-cyclone Alfred in South-East Queensland and Northern New South Wales as
an example, the supply chain of milk production was severely impacted due to
weather conditions on dairy farms. This event temporarily caused a shortage of
milk production within South-East Queensland and Northern New South Wales,
directly affecting the production of any milk-based products for Bega. If Bega
solely relied on these milk-based products instead of diversifying into spreads
and water ice, their profits would have plummeted until the industry recovered,
especially in the case of a more severe weather event. This to me is the most
important reason for management to diversify a firm’s products or services with
varying contribution margins. Moreover, providing products with lower and
higher quality options may also be a useful tool to capture a larger share of
the consumer market, who may not be able to afford top end products.
Constraints for Bega Cheese
Firstly, as mentioned above, Ex-cyclone
Alfred recently caused a major supply issue for Bega to the point in which
their shares on the stock market crashed. Additionally, other weather events
such as droughts, floods and bush fires can all cause supply issues in
milk-based products for Bega and must be considered as a constraint for
management. Another recent constraint for Bega that I’ve identified is their net
loss of 230 million dollars for the 2023 financial year. The reason I consider
this as a constraint is because excess debt can affect the financial
flexibility of the company and put pressure on the ability to pursue new
opportunities until the debt has been repaid. The annual report also discusses
the fluctuation in the price of raw milk being a major constraint for Bega and
is possibly the reason that the company has started branching out beyond just
milk-based products. This fluctuation paired with overall inflation has made
profitability in the industry a lot more complex and competitive than it once
was, hence, why I’ve listed this as a constraint for Bega.
These are just a few constraints for my
firm but I’m positive that deeper research would show a very long list of
different constraints throughout multiple areas of Bega.
In what ways are these constraints
relevant to the three products I have chosen?
The three products I’ve chosen have direct
implications from the constraints of weather events such as the recent cyclone.
For example, with limitations on raw milk available these three brands of milk
might require price adjustments based upon supply and demand, as well as
careful inventory management. In addition to this, the substantial financial
loss in 2023 and resulting debt would restrict the ability to invest in a
production increase and marketing options for these products. Finally, with the
price of raw milk being relatively volatile, paired with inflation
considerations, pricing strategies become more complex and reinforce the
pressures needed for cost control by management.
These constraints make it difficult for
Bega’s management to make definitive choices regarding resource allocation,
pricing, marketing, and diversification for the three milk products I’ve
chosen.
Step 4
Reflection of Ratios
Profitability Ratios
Gross Profit Margin: The gross profit margin is calculated by taking direct
costs from the revenue. This shows how efficiently a firm is generating revenue
from its direct cost of producing the goods or services it provides. That being
said, having a higher gross profit margin is what every firm strives for as it
indicates high profitability and success. Bega’s (GPM) hasn’t had much
fluctuation over the past 4 years (FY2021-FY2024) and ranges from 19.4%-22.9%
and seems to be on a slightly downward trajectory. However, based upon a few
other companies that I’ve researched, the (GPM) sitting at around 20% on average
is quite high in comparison to those firms, which is a positive sign.
Net Profit Margin: This margin is classified as the percentage of revenue
remaining after all expenses have been deducted. For most people, this is
considered the overall profitability of a firm and how much profit it generates
for every dollar of revenue earned. The (NPM) for Bega for FY2024 is currently
sat at 0.9% which is extremely low, however, considering that FY2023 was -6.8% it
seems to be having a rebound from significant losses in the prior year.
Return on Assets: The return on assets is used to measure a firm’s ability
to generate profit from its assets. Similarly, with the net profit margin it’s
at a very low level of 1.4% coming from the back of FY2023’s -10.7%. It seems
to be recovering at the same rate as the net profit margin and almost directly
scales to those figures. Again, this is not an ideal (ROA) by any means, but
it’s a good sign seeing the ability to recover from a terrible performance in FY2023.
Efficiency
Ratios
Days of Inventory: This ratio
is used to measure how long on average a firm is holding its inventory before the
product is sold. This ratio could provide valuable insight for a company
like Bega because if management can present methods of moving inventory through
the sales process quicker, it allows for a larger volume of products to be sold
per year, leading to greater profitability. Within Bega, this area seems to be
improving as each year passes, FY2021 had a 78.3 day average, compared to 46.3
days in FY2024. There is still improvement to be made but from what Maria Tyler
said in her ratio video, this ratio is all about balance, you don’t want the
turnaround to be too fast or too slow.
Total Asset Turnover Ratio: The
total asset turnover ratio indicates how many dollars of revenue a company
generates for each dollar of assets it owns. A higher turnover ratio is ideal
as it shows the effectiveness of the firm’s ability to generate revenue from
its assets. Within my firm, I can see a progressive and linear increase from
year to year in this ratio. FY2021 was calculated at 0.83, whereas FY2024 is up
to 1.65. This indicates a drastic increase over the last four years and my
knowledge of the company brings me to the conclusion that this could be due to the
diversification of their product base. This also seems to be moving in line
with the days of inventory ratio when the average days of inventory decreases,
the total asset turnover ratio is increasing.
Liquidity
Ratios
Current Ratio: The current
ratio is useful in measuring a firm’s ability to pay off its short-term
liabilities with the use of its short-term assets. This seems important to me, because
how can the company meet any long-term obligations if it doesn’t have control
over its short-term obligations? The current ratio for Bega has been very
stable over the last four financial years, ranging between 1.16 and 1.23.
Although the ratio has been stable and 1.16 is considered within a healthy level
of liquidity, seeing an increase in this area and making a push towards 2.0 long-term
would be a great goal for Bega.
Quick Ratio’s 1 & 2: Quick
ratio’s one and two offer a refined perspective on the firm’s immediate
short-term liquidity. By excluding less liquid current assets such as
inventory, prepayments and receivables, the adjusted ratios provide a focus on
the firm’s most readily available assets in relation to its current
liabilities. This provides a more realistic assessment of the firm’s capacity
to meet its more urgent obligations. Bega’s financials show a low, decreasing figure
for both ratios and are trending downward. This is a worrying sign for the
health of its short-term obligations and might be cause for concern for Bega’s
management team.
Note: I had to add two
extra lines (prepayments and trade receivables) within my financial statements spreadsheet
to get accurate formulas for these liquidity ratios.
Financial
Structure Ratios
Debt/Equity Ratio: Bega’s
debt/equity ratio is quite high for the industry, sitting at 110.8% for the
FY2024. This figure is down 3.7% from the previous financial year, however it
looks to be trending up as FY2022 was 86.9% and FY2021 was 98%. Generally
speaking, a lower debt/equity ratio is preferred, as it suggests to investors a
lower proportion of debt and lower financial risk for the company. That being
said, the rising rate of debt to equity within Bega is a bit of a concern here
and should be targeted by management.
Equity Ratio: The equity
ratio is used to establish the proportion of a firm’s assets that are financed
by equity instead of debt. As such, a higher ratio is ideal in proving
financial stability, low financial risk and more cushion for potential losses.
Bega’s financial statements show that this number has decreased from 50.5% in
FY2021 to 47.4% in FY2024. The massive losses during FY2023 have proved to have
a detrimental impact on the overall financial position of the company as they
work to recover in FY2024.
Time Interest Earned: To
evaluate a firm's security in meeting its debt obligations, the times interest earned
ratio compares operating income to interest expense. A higher (TIE) ratio
demonstrates a greater margin of safety in covering interest payments,
indicating less financial vulnerability and a lower probability of default.
Looking at Bega’s figures for this was shocking, I had to question whether I’d
entered the correct formula or not. The figures are all over the place for each
year and I believe it’s due to Bega earning such a small amount in interest
each financial year. During FY2023 where Bega made a giant loss, the times
interest earned ratio was recorded at -256.80, however, during FY2021 the (TIE)
was 992.0. Based upon my knowledge a higher TIE is obviously a good sign, but
I’m not sure if I can come to any serious conclusions about these figures as they
are all over place.
Market
Ratios
Earnings per Share (EPS): Earnings
per share (EPS) quantifies a company's profitability on a per-share basis,
representing the portion of net income attributable to each outstanding share
of common stock. This ratio is important for shareholders in evaluating
the firm's stock value and its earnings performance. A higher (EPS) suggests that
the company is generating more profit for each share held. Again, Bega’s
figures don’t look great here, although a clear rebound can be seen from
FY2023’s loss at -0.76 to now 0.10 in FY2024. Prior years of FY2022 and FY2021
sat at 0.09 and 0.25 respectively so (EPS) didn’t look promising regardless of
profit margins for the firm.
Dividends per Share (DPS): Dividends
per share (DPS) represents the per-share distribution of a company's earnings
to its shareholders. A higher (DPS) is seen as favourable and indicates a more
substantial cash return to investors for each share they own. Interestingly for
Bega, their (DPS) ranged from 0.07 to 0.10 and although they operated at a
major loss in FY2023 they still distributed 0.10 (DPS) to their shareholders
(this was exactly the same as the prior year FY2022). I wonder if this was to
maintain a healthy relationship with its shareholders so that they didn’t look
elsewhere for investment opportunities.
Dividend Yield Ratio: The dividend
yield ratio calculates the annual dividend per share as a percentage of the
current stock price. This provides investors with a direct measure of the
income potential of a stock. For Bega, these figures ranged from 1.5% to 3.5%
over the years of (2021-2024) and this makes complete sense. The dividend yield
ratio fluctuated exactly alongside the price of the market shares each year, as
the price of shares dropped, the dividend yields increased and vise versa.
Price Earnings Ratio: The price
to earnings ratio shows the price investors are currently paying for one dollar
of a company's earnings per share. It can indicate whether a stock is
relatively expensive or inexpensive. The price earnings ratio for Bega has
fluctuated heavily throughout the four financial years, which makes sense
considering how the company’s performance has been quite volatile.
Net Asset Backing per Share
Ratio: Investors use the net asset backing per share (NABPS) ratio to
estimate the underlying asset value supporting each of a company's shares. It represents
the potential cash payout per share if the company's assets were sold and all
debts were paid. Considering that the market price of shares in 2024 was $4.22,
slightly above the (NABPS) at $3.33 shows that investors were more interested in
this financial year. This is most likely due to the improved performance by the
company compared to FY2023 where the (NABPS) was well below the market price of
shares.
Market/Book Ratio: The market
to book (M/B) ratio serves as a gauge of how the market perceives a company's
value relative to its recorded accounting worth. It essentially tells us the
premium or discount investors are willing to apply to the firm's net assets. Bega’s
(M/B) ratio has improved from 86.39% to 126.74% in the last year. When a
company’s (M/B) ratio is under 100% it indicates that the market values the
company’s equity at less than its book value. Therefore, Bega’s improvement in
this area is a positive sign and shows that the market now values the company’s
equity above its book value. Additionally, this points to confidence within its
investors regarding future prospects of the company.
Current Operations & Looking
Ahead
Bega Cheese's current operational
landscape proves that the company is in a state of recovery following a
challenging year in FY2023. While Bega demonstrates strengths in managing its
direct production costs, evidenced by a gross profit margin of 19.8% in FY2024,
this efficiency isn't fully translating to the bottom line, resulting in a low
net profit margin and return on assets. Positively, Bega is showing improved
asset utilisation and a more efficient inventory turnover compared to prior
years, suggesting enhanced operational processes. The rebound in important profitability
metrics (net profit margin and return on assets) from the prior year's losses is
offering investors some optimism for future performance.
However, several areas will require
close attention. The quick ratios decline is indicating to me that Bega’s
short-term liquidity is weakening, raising concerns about its ability to meet pressing
financial obligations. Furthermore, the increasing debt-to-equity ratio shows a
growing reliance on debt financing, which elevates financial risk for the
company. The irregular nature of the time interest earned ratio also makes it
difficult to determine the consistent security of Bega's debt servicing
capacity. Although Bega maintained consistency with dividend payouts over the
four years, the low earnings per share reflect the limited profitability on a
per-share basis.
Looking ahead, I believe that Bega's
management should prioritise strategies to enhance net profit margins,
potentially by examining operating expenses and other factors impacting
profitability outside of direct production costs. Addressing the declining
short-term liquidity and the rising debt levels will be critical for ensuring
long-term financial stability and reducing financial risk. Finally, the recent
improvement in the market-to-book ratio seems to be improving investor
confidence, and Bega can capitalise on this by demonstrating consistent and
improved financial performance in the future.
Step 5
Capital Investment Options
Option 1: Bega Cheese is
looking to expand their product range into different locations and different
customer bases such as cafes, restaurants, petrol and convenience, and more. To
do this, they plan on investing in a new business to business (B2B) customer
portal that will enable them to access more marketing data and information as
well as sell a broader range of products to customers they wouldn’t otherwise
have.
Option 2: Bega Cheese has
also expressed interest in the investment in automation in their main national
logistics centre in Laverton. This option would be a long-term investment to
gain annualised benefits in areas such as efficiency, cost reduction and supply
chain optimisation, ultimately producing significant profit maximisation for
the company.
Table. 1a below represents
the two potential capital investment decisions for the firm. The table
incorporates the original cost, estimated useful life, discount rate and
estimated future cash flow. As Bega is an Australian company all figures will
be expressed in Australian Dollars ($AUD).
|
Table. 1a |
Option 1: (B2B) Customer Portal |
Option 2: Automation in Laverton’s Logistics Centre |
|
Original Cost |
$75 m |
$50 m |
|
Estimated Life |
10 years |
10 years |
|
Discount Rate |
8% |
8% |
|
|
Estimated Future Cash Flow |
|
|
Year 0 |
($75 m) |
($50 m) |
|
Year 1 |
($50 m) |
($40 m) |
|
Year 2 |
($10 m) |
($25 m) |
|
Year 3 |
$40 m |
($5 m) |
|
Year 4 |
$80 m |
$20 m |
|
Year 5 |
$130 m |
$50 m |
|
Year 6 |
$180 m |
$100 m |
|
Year 7 |
$210 m |
$180 m |
|
Year 8 |
$225 m |
$280 m |
|
Year 9 |
$225 m |
$380 m |
|
Year 10 |
$220 m |
$ 430 m |
Note: Please refer to my excel spreadsheet for the calculations of
Bega’s NVP, IRR & Payback Period.
Capital Investment Options
|
Table. 1b |
Option
1: (B2B)
Customer Portal |
Option
2: Automation
in Laverton’s Logistics Centre |
|
Net Present Value (NPV) |
$621.14 m |
$644.88 m |
|
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) |
44.3% |
40.8% |
|
Payback Period (PBP) |
4 years, 1.4 months |
5 years, 6 months |
Capital Investment Analysis and Recommendation
Upon calculation of the NPV, IRR
& PBP of these options, it is quite clear that both are good capital
investment options. The largest difference between the two options can be seen
in the payback period with option one’s (B2B Customer Portal) having a one year
and 4.6-month shorter turnaround on investment, opposed to option two. Firms
deem that a shorter payback period and faster investment recovery are superior when
it comes to capital investments, as they are less risky.
The net present value (NPV) is
considered highly important when deciding on capital investment options. It’s
used to account for the time value of money and recognises that future cash
flows are worth less in the current. Comparing the NVP’s of each option, option
two (automation in Laverton’s logistics centre) is substantially higher at 644.8
million dollars, opposed to option one’s 621.14 million dollars. The difference
in these NPV’s indicates that option two is the more profitable investment of
the two.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is the rate of return a project is expected to generate. The reason it’s important within capital investment decision making is because it represents the break-even discount rate at which the present value of the expected future cash inflows exactly equals the present value of the expected future cash outflows. When looking at the IRR figures above in Table. 1b, option one is slightly higher at 44.3%, compared to option two’s 40.8%. These are both considered very high and suggest strong potential returns within both investments. All things considered; I don’t believe that the IRR difference here presents enough grounds to cancel out the NPV benefits of option two.
Strengths & Weaknesses
|
Table. 1c |
Option 1: (B2B) Customer Portal |
Option 2: Automation in Laverton’s Logistics Centre |
|
Strengths |
·
Slightly higher IRR ·
Shorter payback period ·
Broadening customer base and
access to new markets |
·
Lower initial investment ·
Technological advancements ·
Cost reductions ·
Revenue growth ·
Higher cumulative cashflow ·
Future-proofing and optimising
supply chain |
|
Weaknesses |
·
Higher initial investment ·
Higher risk investing in different
sectors ·
Irreversible investment if
marketing fails |
·
Longer payback period |
As mentioned previously, I believe
that both are extremely profitable capital investments, and it was quite
difficult to pinpoint any weaknesses in either option. If I had to choose one,
based upon the calculations, I see option two (automation in Laverton’s
logistics centre) to be a more beneficial and profitable investment long-term. Although
the payback period is slightly longer within option two, the NPV and cumulative
cashflow over the 10-year period provides me with more confidence in this
investment’s longevity compared to option one. In addition to this, investing in
the company’s future through its supply chain and technology seems to be virtually
risk-free, opposed to branching out into new sectors of the industry, to capture
new customers.
I understand that risks can be a
necessary part of business progression and profitability. However, in this
situation where the profitability of both options looks extremely similar and
considering Bega is still in recovery mode from major losses within FY2023, choosing
the option with less risk is the logical decision. Therefore, with the analysis
of the strengths and weaknesses listed in Table. 1c, as well as the comparison
of capital budgeting figures in Table. 1b, option two (automation in
Laverton’s logistic centre) is my recommendation for Bega.
My Learning Experience in this
Unit
I’m currently enrolled in four
units full-time at CQU and out of those this unit has been my favourite. The
learning experience has been extremely unique compared to my other units and differed
from my certificate IV in TAFE last year. The short-length lecture style, the
audio recordings for different chapters of the textbook and particularly Maria
Tyler’s videos that guide you through certain challenging steps to do with
excel spreadsheets really did wonders. The other units I’m enrolled in had
quite a confusing layout on Moodle and seemed disorganised, which ultimately
cost me a lot of time over the course of the semester and could have been
utilised more effectively within my studies. This was not apparent at all in
this unit and all the assessments and weekly tiles had a clear layout to follow.
Another useful tool was the exemplar’s provided; it gave me a solid foundation
to work upon and a good idea of what was required if I wanted to achieve higher
grades.
Something else unique to this unit
was the forced style of interaction with other students in an online setting,
through blogs and forum posts. I can definitely see how some students might not
enjoy this part of the unit. However, considering that this unit was strictly
online, you quickly understand the importance of group-work and how peer-to-peer
feedback and cooperation can benefit one another. At first, I thought of this
as an unnecessary chore and didn’t feel like it was my place as a fellow
student who is new to the subject of accounting, to be giving criticism or
praise to others in their work. However, after providing and receiving feedback
in assessment one, I found it to be an enjoyable yet challenging task, and to
do this well requires deep thought about other students’ work. Doing this extra
step forced me to understand certain concepts within the unit from a different
point of view, and perhaps this is exactly why giving and receiving feedback has
been implemented into the unit. The overall experience made me realise that
providing direct criticism as well as thoughtful feedback is a useful skill to
have, and like anything else requires time and practice to master.
To future students, just make sure
you attend Maria Tyler’s workshops each week and you will pass. All jokes
aside, I did find attending workshops as frequently as possible to be a very
useful tool, as Maria went through each of the students’ annual reports and
spreadsheets if they were having trouble and set them on the correct path. Something
that worked well for me was dedicating multiple days in a row to this subject
without putting time into other units. This tends to be an unpopular opinion
amongst teachers in the past and they tell you to do a little bit of each unit,
each week. Personally, I find that I can learn the content properly and retain
knowledge more effectively when I’m able to focus on one thing for an extended period
of time. Additionally, it can save time messing around trying to remember where
you were up to in another unit and simplifies what’s floating around in your
mind, similar to how having a messy workspace may affect your productivity.
Overall, this was genuinely an
enjoyable experience. It had its challenges at times, but I feel like I’ve
learnt a lot, not just about accounting, but deeper thought processes and the
skill of learning itself. I’m sure I will carry this knowledge into my next units
at university and through my career in the future. Thank you, Dr Martin Turner
and Dr Maria Tyler, you’ve put together quite a unique learning experience for
students and I’m sure you will continue to improve it over time.
Step 6
KCQ1: “We will consider a few
techniques managers can use, some involving a consideration of the ‘time value
of money’ (that is, money is worth more to us now than in the future) and some
that do not.”
The time value of money is
something that has been on my mind for a very long time, well before starting
this unit. It’s a concept that I use almost every day and have incorporated
into many areas of my life. For example, I’ve personally used this concept within
areas such as stock investments, collectable purchases, assets, etc. The idea
of an asset or investment earning you money with little to no time investment
was something I considered before making these decisions and ideally should be the
goal of everyone, yet I rarely see it utilised amongst my friends and family.
You go to work to get paid, right?
Whether people understand that they value time as money or not, most people are
applying this concept in their day-to-day life. Now, if you value your time as
money, which we’ve established that most people do, why wouldn’t you value your
money as time? If you have money, you have free time. If you allow your money
to work for you, you can achieve your goals much faster and you of the future,
will thank you.
These should be educated decisions of course, and that’s what this part of the chapter seems to be discussing when it mentions techniques for managers. I’ve never read anything about this concept and just considered it common sense, so I’m sure this chapter will have some useful insights into how I can apply this concept professionally.
KCQ 2: “Usually when we do
anything there are many things we cannot do at the same time. Is what we have
chosen to do the best choice, or was there a better use of our limited
resources?”
This quote made me think about
opportunity cost and how useful it is in everyday life. I often think to myself
“man, there really isn’t enough hours in the day to achieve what I want to achieve
or do what I want to do”. I’m a very motivated person in general when it comes
to self-improvement, whether that’s strength or physique goals in the gym,
studying to achieve the highest grades I possibly can, making improvements at
work to advance in my career or even just being a better friend and man in
general. Without getting too deep, this is my purpose and goal in life, to
become the best version of myself in every aspect. Because I have such high
standards for myself, to achieve my goals, I need to make the right decisions
as often as possible, and this can be an extremely difficult position to be in.
I often wonder if we had 34 hours in a day, opposed to 24, perhaps I could be
further along or closer to my end goal. To bring this back to the quote, I
think that everyone experiences doubt in their choices when it comes to
decision making on important matters.
Let’s say I chose a restaurant to
eat at which was close to home for convenience’s sake, and the food ended up
being sub-par. This is a choice that could have been avoided had I not been
lazy, but ultimately the only loser is my taste buds. However, if you are the
manager of the restaurant and one of your customers receives a meal with
expired ingredients, the accountability ultimately falls back on you not
managing your stock correctly. Not only have you lost money from the
ingredients and staff labour to make the meal, but you have also lost business.
The customer may leave a bad review, tell their friends not to eat at your
restaurant, or if the food poisoning was bad enough the company could be sued.
This goes to show there is a time
and place to make the correct decision regardless of how you are feeling, poor
decisions can lead to negative consequences, just as good decisions can lead to
positive outcomes. There is a reason we all learn this from our parents at a
young age, and this is a concept that most people carry throughout their entire
life.
KCQ 3: “One important
decision managers must make is how much of various products should a firm
obtain (or produce) and seek to sell. These are called product-mix decisions:
what relative weighting of products should a firm have.”
This is a basic concept, yet it
feels worth exploring because it is essential to almost every business or firm.
The idea of understanding exactly what your firm can sell and the profit it can
make per product, or service is the core of having a profitable business. Thinking
back to when I was working in retail at the service station, I would often get
asked my opinion on which products sell most frequently and methods on which to
improve these sales by my manager. Unless you have worked within the industry,
you might think that the majority of profit within a service station would be
fuel sales, however, the bulk of the profit is made from in-store product sales
such as food, drink, electronic products, etc. That being said, making
calculations from sales data such as the contribution margins for each product and
unit, was important in distinguishing which products had the most and least
profitability within the shop. As I worked in a relatively small service
station, space was limited. Therefore, important decisions had to be made in
regard to which product should occupy floor space within the store, to maximise
profitability. I would work tirelessly with my manager, day-in, day-out, to try
new product placements and layouts which would catch the eye of customers. I vividly
remember discussing the negative contribution margins of slow-moving products such
as turkish delights and bubble-mint flavoured chewing gum, which would
frequently go out of date. It’s safe to say, these products didn’t stick around
for very long.
Ultimately, the longer I worked there, the better I got with understanding this concept and regardless of industry, if you sell a product or service, making decisions based on sales data to market your services correctly is one of the most important aspects of a business.
KCQ 4: “Clearly, much of what
we have of value today has been greatly affected and influenced by decisions
and activities and events of people 40, 60, or 80 years ago (indeed, by people
who lived thousands of years ago).”
Although this statement quotes the
value of money using DCF techniques (NPV and IRR), I resonated with the
sentiment that people before us have affected current conditions in humanity.
Just like a manager’s decision to utilise DCF techniques to support long-term
outcomes in a firm or business, each generation before us has laid the
foundations for the continuation of society. This can be seen in all areas of society
such as technological and industrial advancement, modern medicine, space
exploration, sciences, food production, cultural traditions and many more. When
you think about it, pretty much every convenience and pleasure we experience
today has been the work of prior generations and just like the people before
us, it is our duty to continue the progression of society within our lifetime
as well.
Although this chapter defines us as
part of a conveyer belt and “everyone eventually has to drop off”, it’s of
importance to understand the value you can bring to the people and world around
you, even if you are just a small part of current events. Actions you take, and
decisions you make, will affect not only yourself and the people around you,
but the people who come after us as well. I think that an understanding of this
concept allows us to feel pride in what has been achieved prior to now, as well
as allowing us to experience the world for what it has to offer today.
As stated earlier in this unit, accounting has evolved over thousands of years and countless generations into what it is today. It’s an ever-changing industry that requires adaptation in order to progress. If the influence of prior people didn’t have any effect, we would still be using clay tablets and papyrus scrolls for ledgers. Essentially, this is a fundamental concept to humanity as we know it, it’s the reason we have the ability to learn about accounting and it’s the reason we are studying (or teaching) at CQUniversity right now. Quite philosophical, I know, but this is what came to mind when I saw the quote, sorry.


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